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FREE FOOTBALL PICKS FOR GAMES NOVEMBER 17 & 18, 2007

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 VS.
 
Penn State Nittany Lions (8-3)At Michigan State Spartans (6-5)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

The Penn State Nittany Lions and Michigan State Spartans wrap up their respective schedules, as the two are set for a Big Ten Conference clash. Penn State is coming off its second shutout of the season, a 31-0 triumph at Temple last weekend. The Nittany Lions have gotten hot down the stretch, winning five of their last six games. Their only loss in that span was a lopsided defeat to then top-ranked Ohio State on October 27th.

As for the Spartans, they enter the tilt on the heels of last weekend's much-needed 48-31 win at Purdue. The victory snapped a three-game skid for Michigan State. Although they are bowl eligible, the Spartans may need a home win this weekend in order to officially lock up a bowl game, considering how tight the Big Ten standings have become. Should they do so, the Spartans would be bowl bound for the first time since 2003. In terms of the head-to-head series, Penn State holds a slim 12-11-1 advantage over Michigan State.

TAKE PENN STATE NITTANY LIONS MINUS -3 POINTS


VS.
 
Purdue Boilermakers (7-4)At Indiana Hoosiers (6-5)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

With the Old Oaken Bucket on the line, the Purdue Boilermakers and Indiana Hoosiers wrap up their respective regular-season schedules in a Big Ten Conference bout at Memorial Stadium in Bloomington. It will be the first meeting since the 1994 season that both teams are above .500 and bowl eligible. Still, neither is packing a whole lot of punch at the moment.

Purdue enters the game losers of two straight and in search of a bounce-back performance to carry into a bowl game. The Boilermakers were dealt a 48-31 loss from Michigan State last weekend. Indiana, coming off its 31-28 loss to Northwestern, may be the most desperate of the two. The Hoosiers allowed the Wildcats to drive 73 yards and score the game-winning touchdown in the final minute. The loss was Indiana's fourth in a five-game span. Purdue holds a 68-35-6 edge in the head- to-head series with Indiana.

TAKE PURDUE BOILERMAKERS MINUS -2 POINTS


 VS.
 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane (7-3)At Army Black Knights (3-7)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 12:00 p.m.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane shoot for their fourth straight victory this weekend as they take on the Army Black Knights in their first-ever meeting at Michie Stadium in West Point. Tulsa posted a huge win last Saturday with a 56-7 thrashing of Houston at home, putting the team ahead for the Conference USA West Division title, a honor that the Hurricane can celebrate with a win over Rice in the final game of the regular season.

As for the Black Knights, they were at home for the first time in more than a month last Friday night, but Rutgers refused to be gracious guests in what became a 41-6 setback for the service academy. Following this contest, Army will take off a week before emerging in Baltimore for the annual battle against the Naval Academy to close out the 2007 campaign.

TAKE TULSA GOLDEN HURRICANE MINUS -15.5 POINTS


 VS.
 
#3 Oklahoma Sooners (9-1) At Texas Tech Red Raiders (7-4)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 8:00 p.m.

The third-ranked Oklahoma Sooners remain in the hunt for the national title, but they figure to be tested this weekend by the Texas Tech Red Raiders when the two meet for a Big 12 tussle in Lubbock. Oklahoma needs to win either this weekend or next against Oklahoma State to clinch a berth in the Big 12 title game opposite either undefeated Kansas or Missouri. The Sooners trail only LSU and Oregon in the AP poll, and they are fourth in the BCS standings. The lone loss for Oklahoma came against Colorado, and the Sooners have won five straight games since that point, including a 52-21 romp over Baylor last weekend.

This game for Texas Tech represents its regular season finale, and while the Red Raiders are bowl eligible at 7-4, they can greatly strengthen their postseason prospects with a victory. Tech has lost three of its last four games, including last weekend's 59-43 setback at Texas. Oklahoma owns an 11-3 advantage in the all-time series with Texas Tech, including a 34-24 decision over the Red Raiders in Norman last season.

TAKE THE OVER 66 POINTS

TAKE TEXAS TECH RED RAIDERS PLUS +8 POINTS


 VS.
 
(UCF) Central Florida Knights (7-3) At (SMU) Southern Methodist Mustangs (1-9)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 3:00 p.m.

For their first-ever meeting on the gridiron, the SMU Mustangs and the Knights of UCF meet up in Dallas this weekend for a Conference USA showdown. Polar opposites as far as their respective successes this season, UCF is currently first in the C-USA East Division with a mark of 5-1 and is 7-3 overall thus far. Since losing to in-state rival and nationally-ranked South Florida the second week of October, the Knights have rolled off four consecutive victories, the most recent being a 45-31 triumph over UAB last Saturday in Birmingham.

As for the Mustangs, a team that has already announced that head coach Phil Bennett will not return following the conclusion of this season, they were on the cusp of snapping an eight-game slide last Saturday, but a last-second field goal by Rice provided the Owls with a narrow 43-42 victory in Dallas. With the setback, the Ponies are still winless in Conference USA play this season, leaving them at 0-6 and last in the West Division.  

TAKE (UCF) CENTRAL FLORIDA KNIGHTS MINUS -12.5 POINTS


 VS.
 
#6 Missouri Tigers (9-1) At Kansas State Wildcats (5-5)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 12:30 p.m.

The Missouri Tigers have climbed to the sixth spot in the most recent AP poll, and they hope to keep their Big 12 and national title hopes alive this weekend as they battle the Kansas State Wildcats in Manhattan. Missouri is coming off a 40-26 victory over Texas A&M, and the Tigers have clinched their first winning record in conference play under seventh-year head coach Gary Pinkel. They are in second place in the Big 12 North, trailing undefeated Kansas by one game in the standings. Those two teams will meet in Columbia next weekend. The lone loss on the schedule for Missouri is a 10-point setback to national powerhouse Oklahoma in Norman. Kansas State is 5-5 overall this season and needs one victory in the final two games to become bowl eligible.

The Wildcats have lost their last two games, including an embarrassing 73-31 setback to Nebraska last weekend. They lost to a inferior Iowa State team the week before, and it is hard to belive that this K-State squad crushed Texas in Austin back in late September. In regard to the overall series between these long-time foes, Missouri leads by a 56-31-5 margin. Last season, the Tigers snapped a 13-game losing streak to the Wildcats with a 41-21 victory.

TAKE #6 MISSOURI TIGERS MINUS -7 POINTS


 VS.
 
San Jose State Spartans (4-6) At Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (4-6)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 7:00 p.m.

Tied for fifth place in the Western Athletic Conference standings entering this week, the San Jose State Spartans and the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are set to collide at Aillet Stadium in Ruston on Saturday night. The Spartans, a team that played in and won the inaugural New Mexico Bowl last season, still has a slim chance to fight their way back to the postseason, but they're going to have to come up big in the last two games. Last Saturday, SJSU proved it could turn up the intensity by crushing New Mexico State in a 51-17 decision at home. The victory snapped a three-game slide for SJSU, which is 3-3 in conference play and has Nevada looming to close out the regular season.

As for the Bulldogs, they took a break from WAC play last week and instead opted to be beaten down by then-second-ranked LSU in a 58-10 decision. The tough loss snapped a two-game win streak for the Bulldogs, who are now also 4-6 on the season overall. San Jose State leads the all-time series against the Bulldogs with four wins in six meetings. Last season, the Spartans crushed LaTech at home in a 44-10 decision.

TAKE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS PLUS +6 POINTS


 VS.
 
#24 Wisconsin Badgers (8-3) At Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-10)
 
Date & Time: November 17, Saturday, 3:30 p.m.

The 24th-ranked Wisconsin Badgers and the Minnesota Golden Gophers meet for the 117th time, as they do battle in Big Ten play at the Metrodome this weekend. The Badgers were finally able to post a signature win last weekend, as they knocked off nationally-ranked Michigan 37-21. It was the team's 14th straight home win, marking the third longest such streak in school history. With the triumph, Wisconsin also improved to 8-3 overall, leaving it just one victory shy of its school-record fourth consecutive season with at least nine wins.

As for Minnesota, its dreadful campaign continued last weekend with a 21-16 setback at Iowa. It was the squad's ninth consecutive defeat, marking the third longest current losing streak in the nation. The Gophers have dropped all seven of their league games this season, and their lone win in 11 overall outings came against Miami-Ohio all the way back on September 8th. On a positive note, Minnesota does own a 59-49-8 edge in the all-time series with Wisconsin that dates to 1890. This is the most played rivalry at the Football Bowl Subdivision level, and since 1948, the two schools have been playing for possession of Paul Bunyan's Axe. Over the years, Wisconsin has won the coveted axe 33 times and the Gophers 23 times. There has also been three ties during that span.

TAKE #24 WISCONSIN BADGERS MINUS -14 POINTS

TAKE THE OVER 57 POINTS


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 VS.
 
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-4) At  Atlanta Falcons (3-6)
 
Date & Time: November 18, Sunday, 1:00 p.m.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers' resurgence has lifted them into first place in the mediocre NFC South. With their division foes pushing for the top spot, though, the Bucs can't afford to be satisfied. Following their bye week, the Buccaneers look to stay alone in first place Sunday when they visit the Atlanta Falcons, who are suddenly back in the playoff chase. After finishing last in the NFC South with a 4-12 record - the franchise's worst since 1991 - last season, Tampa Bay (5-4) surpassed its victory total from 2006 with a 17-10 win over Arizona on Nov. 4.

The Bucs own a one-game lead over Carolina and New Orleans, and with victories over the Panthers and Saints, are the only NFC South team with a perfect division record. While the Panthers and Saints are one game behind Tampa Bay, Brooks overlooked the last-place Falcons (3-6), who would be one game out of first with a win this week. After losing six of seven to start the season, Atlanta defeated Carolina 20-13 on Sunday for its second straight win - a modest streak that in the weak South, has put the Falcons in the thick of the battle for the division title. Atlanta swept Tampa Bay last year for the first time since the NFC South was created in 2002. The teams meet again at Raymond James Stadium on Dec. 16.

Jeff Garcia has been a major factor in Tampa Bay's bounce-back year, guiding the offense through injuries to tailbacks Carnell "Cadillac" Williams and Michael Pittman, receiver Michael Clayton, tight end Alex Smith and left tackle Luke Petitgout. The 37-year-old quarterback was 18-of-28 for 196 yards and a touchdown against the Cardinals, and has completed nearly 65.9 percent of his passes for 1,967 yards, nine touchdowns and three interceptions. Garcia has 1,846 yards passing, 10 touchdowns and three INTs in eight games against the Falcons, and has thrown for 958 yards, eight TDs and just one pick in three games at the Georgia Dome.

Earnest Graham, who became the starter because of injuries to Williams and Pittman, is coming off his best game as a pro Nov. 4, running for 124 yards on 34 carries and a touchdown. Atlanta's turnaround has been keyed by the resurgence of running back Warrick Dunn, who has rushed for 189 yards and two TDs on 53 carries in his last two games. He was held to 70 yards on 31 attempts in his previous three contests. Dunn, who played for Tampa Bay from 1997-2001, needs 58 yards rushing to reach 10,000 for his career. The 11-year veteran ran for 179 yards on 32 carries in two games against his former team last season, and has 460 rushing yards in eight games against the Bucs. Harrington has also bounced back after being benched earlier in the season. He was 19-of-26 for 192 yards Sunday, and his last-minute touchdown pass was his first TD throw in his last five games. Harrington now tries to lead the Falcons to three straight wins for the first time since Oct. 16-Nov. 6, 2005.

TAKE TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS MINUS -3 POINTS


 VS.
 
Chicago Bears (4-5) At Seattle Seahawks (5-4)
 
Date & Time: November 18, Sunday, 4:15 p.m.

After stumbling for a few weeks, the NFC West-leading Seattle Seahawks put together their most complete victory of the season their last time out. The Chicago Bears, meanwhile, may have received a potentially season-saving performance from the highly criticized Rex Grossman in their win last week. The Seahawks and Bears each look to carry some momentum from those victories when they meet Sunday at Qwest Field in a matchup between the last two NFC champions. Following a stretch when it lost three of four, Seattle (5-4) defeated San Francisco 24-0 on Monday night in dominating fashion.

Matt Hasselbeck threw for 278 yards and two touchdowns for the Seahawks and the defense held the 49ers to just 173 yards and only six first downs, tying the team record, set against San Diego in 1987. Backup running back Maurice Morris rushed for 87 yards on 28 attempts in his first start of the season for Shaun Alexander, who was out with an accumulation of injuries. Alexander has been mostly ineffective lately, rushing for just 139 yards on 58 carries in his last four games, and may miss this game. With last Sunday's victory, Seattle improved to 3-1 in the NFC West and maintained its one-game division lead over second-place Arizona. The Seahawks, who have won the last three NFC West titles, marched to a 13-3 finish in 2005, advancing to the franchise's first Super Bowl before losing to Pittsburgh 21-10.

Last season, Chicago (4-5) went 13-3 in the regular season before losing to Indianapolis 29-17 in the Super Bowl. En route to the Super Bowl, the Bears defeated the Seahawks 37-6 at home on Oct. 1 and beat them 27-24 in overtime in a divisional playoff game at Soldier Field. Hasselbeck, who has thrown for 1,153 yards, eight touchdowns and four interceptions in his last four games, threw for 391 yards, one TD and three picks in the two games against the Bears last season.

That was a year ago, though, and much of this season has been a struggle for Chicago. The Bears' once-vaunted defense is ranked 21st in the league, and Grossman, who led the Super Bowl run, was benched after throwing six interceptions and only one touchdown pass in Chicago's first three games. Grossman got another opportunity last Sunday against Oakland as he replaced an injured Brian Griese, and threw a 59-yard pass to Bernard Berrian for the go-ahead score with 3:11 remaining, leading the Bears to a 17-6 victory. Grossman finished 7-for-14 for 142 yards and a touchdown, and most importantly, had no turnovers. Bears coach Lovie Smith is giving Grossman another chance, naming him the starter on Wednesday.

Grossman was 38-for-69 for 514 yards with three touchdowns and one interception in the two games against Seattle last season, while Berrian had eight receptions for 213 yards and two TDs in those games. Although Chicago won its first game after the bye, it still has plenty more to do to make it back to the playoffs. Cedric Benson carried 29 times but managed just 76 yards against the league's fourth-worst rushing defense last week. He has rushed for 542 yards on 178 attempts for a paltry 3.0-yard average.

Seattle has the NFL's 10th-best rushing defense (99.4 yards per game), and has allowed an average of just 65.3 yards on the ground in its last three contests. The Seahawks have given up just two rushing touchdowns in five games at home, where they have won four of those contests. Seattle has won 30 of 37 home games since 2003, and in the only meeting between these teams at Qwest Field on Oct. 19, 2003, the Seahawks won 24-17.

TAKE SEATTLE SEAHAWKS MINUS -6 POINTS